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Solar Market, Application & Production Trends (2006 - 2014)
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Solar Market, Application & Production Trends (2006 - 2014), January 2009

The world market for solar photovoltaics is estimated at about $13 billion in 2008 and projected to grow to about $55 billion in 2014. In GW the world solar PV market is estimated at 5GW in 2008 growing to 25 GW in 2014.

The solar industry today faces uncertain economics, markets and government policies along with increased competition. Incentives have been necessary for the solar market and solar suppliers to become established and grow.

Solar applications include: the building industry, industrial markets, military applications, various consumer applications, automotive and solar powered generators of various types.

The severe shortage of polysilicon that occurred in the 2007-2008 time-frame appears to be over as established suppliers have ramped up production and new suppliers have entered that market. Currently an oversupply of polysilicon looms with prices falling and long term contracts becoming burdensome.

Consolidations are beginning to occur which should result in fewer, stronger companies left in the market. It is too early to see if the increased effort in the development of thin film polysilicon solar cells which use less polysilicon will be effected by the falling prices of crystalline silicon. At least one supplier, First Solar with their CdTe solar cells, claims to have reached grid parity at less than $1.00/W.

Europe continues as the largest user of solar cells followed by the U.S. with its renewed commitment to solar energy. Silicon based solar cells continue to occupy about 89% of the market followed by thin film polysilicon cells.

At least 50 companies continue to supply crystal silicon solar cells. It is estimated that 6.5 GW of crystalline silicon solar cells was shipped in 2008 and 1.5 GW of thin film PV. The pace of bringing up turnkey amorphous silicon lines continues and various of the CIGS manufacturers are ramping into production.

Estimates of volume capacity in each of these technologies is discussed by supplier and summaries provided.

240+ pages.

[ Description ] [ Contents ] [ Purchase Information ]

Table of Contents - Solar Market, Application & Production Trends (2006 - 2014), January 2009

I. Summary of Tables and Figures

  • Table 2.1.1 World Market for Solar Photovoltaics 2006 - 2014(B$)
  • Figure 2.1.1 Estimated World Market for Solar Photovoltaics 2006-2014 ($B)
  • Figure 2.3.1 Price Experience Curve for Solar Module Industry[207]
  • Table 2.4.1.1 Total World Solar PV Power Market by Year 2006 - 2014 (GW)
  • Figure 2.4.1.1 Total World Solar PV Power Market by Year 2006 - 2014 (GW)
  • Table 2.4.2.1 Total World Solar PV Power Production by Year 2006 - 2012 (GW)
  • Figure 2.4.2.1 World PV Production Estimate in GW 2006 - 2012
  • Table 2.4.3.1 2006 -2008 World PV Industry Market by Country (%MW)
  • Figure 2.4.3.1 World PV Market by Country in 2007 and 2008
  • Figure 2.4.3.2 WorldWide PV Market by Region from 2005 to 2009 (%MW)
  • Table 2.4.4.1 Solar Cell Production and Market Share by Country 2005 - 2010 (% MW)
  • Table 2.5.1.1 Cumulative Installed Solar Power by Country (GW)
  • Figure 2.5.1.1 Cumulative Installed Solar Power by Country (BW)
  • Table 2.7.1.1 Projected Solar Energy Cost Over Time ($/KW-hr)
  • Table 2.7.2.1 Market Share of Different Solar Cell Types 2007 - 2020 [201]
  • Figure 2.7.3.1 Solar Module Projected Price per Watt Trends ($/W)
  • Table 2.8.1 Power Conversion Efficiency of Different Solar Cell Materials
  • Table 3.1 Solar Projects and Applications by Market Segment
  • Table 4.2.1 Vendors of Polysilicon with Announced Annual Capacity 2006-2014(mt)
  • Figure 4.2.2 Polysilicon Supplier Estimated Capacity 2006 - 2013 (mt)
  • Table 4.2.3 Top Ten Solar Polysilicon Vendors in 2008 by Announced Capacity (mt)
  • Table 5.1.1 Solar Cell Suppliers and their Technologies
  • Table 5.2.1 Announced Capacity of Solar Cell Production By Vendor By Year (>500 MW)
  • Table 5.2.2 Announced Capacity of Solar Cell Production By Vendor By Year (<500 MW)
  • Figure 5.2.1 Solar Cell Planned Capacity Trend by Year
  • Table 5.3.1 Top 12 Solar Cell Suppliers by Announced Capacity 2007 - 2009 (MW)
  • Figure 8.2.1 Evergreen String Ribbon Manufacturing Technology
  • Figure 11.1.1 Thin Film Amorphous Suppliers Announced Capacity (MW)
  • Table 13.1.1 Announced Production Capability for CIS/CIGS Solar Cells By Vendor (MW)
  • Table 16.1.1 Solar Equipment Market Over Time (B$)
  • Table 16.1.2 Vendors by Equipment Tool/Process for Solar Manufacture
  • Table 17.1 Makers of Turnkey Solar Manufacturing Lines

II. Executive Overview

III. Overview of the World Solar Market

1.0 Solar Energy As Part of the World's Total and Renewable Energy Resources

2.0 Overview of the World Market for Solar Photovoltaics

  • 2.1 World Market Revenues for Solar Photovoltaic Industry (B$)
  • 2.2 World Market Revenues for Solar modules ($B)
  • 2.3 Solar Module Price Learning Curve
  • 2.4 World Solar PV Power Market and Production (MW)
  • 2.4.1 World Solar PV Market (GW)
  • 2.4.2 World Solar PV Production by Year (MW)
  • 2.4.3 World Solar PV Market by Country (MW)
  • 2.4.4 Solar PV Production by Country (MW)
  • 2.5 Cumulative Installed Solar Power by Country (GW)
  • 2.5.1 Overview by Country (GW)
  • 2.6 Annual Solar Installations by Country
  • 2.6.1 U.S. Solar Installations in 2007
  • 2.7 Cost of Solar Electricity Over Time
  • 2.7.1 Cost of Solar Electricity Compared to Cost of the Power Grid
  • 2.7.2 Market Share and Costs of Different Types of Solar Cells
  • 2.7.3 Cost Per Watt of Electrical Power
  • 2.7.4 Cost of Power From Various Solar Engines
  • 2.7.4.1 Solar Thermal
  • 2.7.4.2 Stirling Engines
  • 2.8 Power Efficiencies of Different Solar Materials Over Time

3.0 Solar Projects / Applications

  • 3.1 Solar in the Building Industry
    • 3.1.1 Solar Building Integrated PV (BIPV)
    • 3.1.2 Solar Rooftop Installations (< 2MW)
    • 3.1.3 Solar Windows or Wall Board
  • 3.2 Solar Power Communications Systems for Emerging Markets
  • 3.3 Wireless Security Systems
  • 3.4 Solar Battery Chargers
  • 3.5 Solar Powered Lighting
  • 3.6 Military and Space Applications
    • 3.6.1 Solar Cells to Power Space Craft
    • 3.6.2 Solar Powered Back Packs for Soldiers
    • 3.6.3 Solar Tents for Charging Field Equipment
  • 3.7 Consumer Applications
    • 3.7.1 Solar Clothing
    • 3.7.2 Solar Golf Bags
    • 3.7.3 Solar Powered LCD Monitors
    • 3.7.4 Solar Mobile Phones
  • 3.8 Solar in Automotive
    • 3.8.1 Solar Electric Car
    • 3.8.2 Solar to Power Auto Cabin Electronic Equipment
  • 3.9 Off-Grid Solar Power for Remote Regions
  • 3.10 General Solar Equipment
  • 3.11 Solar Usage In Public Utilities and Institutions
    • 3.11.1 Rutgers University
    • 3.11.2 Water Treatment During Daytime Loads

4.0 Silicon for Solar Cells: Market Conditions and Suppliers

  • 4.1 Market Conditions for Silicon for Solar Cells
  • 4.2 Announced Capacity of Companies Supplying Polysilicon for Solar Wafers
  • 4.3 Companies Supplying or Planning to Supply Polysilicon for the Solar Market
    • 4.3.1 Becancour Silicon Inc. /Timminco
    • 4.3.2 DALI Polysilicon Co.
    • 4.3.3 DC Chemical (Korea)
    • 4.3.4 Dow Corning (U.S.)
    • 4.3.5 Estelux (SOLON Group)
    • 4.3.6 Glory Silicon (China)
    • 4.3.7 Green Energy Technology (Taiwan)
    • 4.3.8 Hemlock (U.S.)
    • 4.3.9 Hitachi High Technologies
    • 4.3.10 Hoku (U.S.)
    • 4.3.11 Hyundai Heavy and KCC Joint Venture
    • 4.3.12 Jupiter (Qingdao)
    • 4.3.13 LDK Solar (China)
    • 4.3.14 Luoyang Zhonggui (China)
    • 4.3.15 Maharishi Solar (India)
    • 4.3.16 MEMC: (U.S.)
    • 4.3.17 Nitol Solar (Russia/Siberia)
    • 4.3.18 NorSun
    • 4.3.19 Prime Solar (Australia)
    • 4.3.20 PV Crystalox (England)
    • 4.3.21 Renewable Energy Corp (REC) (Norway)
    • 4.3.22 Sailing New Energy Resources (China)
    • 4.3.23 Sichuan Xinguang (China)
    • 4.3.24 Sharp (Japan)
    • 4.3.25 Shin-Nihon (Japan)
    • 4.3.26 Shunda Holdings (China)
    • 4.3.27 Solaicx (U.S.)
    • 4.3.28 SolarValue
    • 4.3.29 Swiss Wafer
    • 4.3.30 M Setek (Japan)
    • 4.3.31 Sun Materials Technology (Taiwan)
    • 4.3.32 Tokuyama
    • 4.3.33 Umicore
    • 4.3.34 Wacker (Germany)
    • 4.3.35 Wacker Schott
    • 4.3.36 IIS Material (Japan)
    • 4.3.37 Yingli Boading (China)
    • 4.3.38 Zhongneng (China)
    • 4.3.39 6N Silicon (Canada)

5.0 Solar Wafer, Solar Cell and Components Suppliers Overview

  • 5.1 Solar Cell Supplier Technologies
  • 5.2 Capacity Expansion Plans of Solar Cell Suppliers
  • 5.3 General Solar Cell Market Information by Vendor

6.0 Silicon Wafer Solar PV Vendors and Developers

  • 6.1 Advent Solar - Silicon (U.S.)
  • 6.2 Arise Technologies -Silicon (Canada)
  • 6.3 ATS (Photowatt Technologies) - Multicrystalline Technology
  • 6.4 BP Solar - Silicon (England)
  • 6.5 CaliSolar - Multicrystalline Silicon (U.S.)
  • 6.6 Canadian Solar - Silicon Solar Cells and Modules
  • 6.7 ChinaLight Solar - Multicrystalline (China)
  • 6.8 DelSolar - Silicon (Taiwan)
  • 6.9 Ersol Solar /Bosch -Crystalline Silicon (Germany)
  • 6.10 E-Ton Solar Technology - Polycrystalline Silicon (Taiwan)
  • 6.11 Gintech - Silicon (Taiwan)
  • 6.12 Hanwa- Crystalline Silicon wafers (Korea)
  • 6.13 Hoku Scientific - Silicon Wafer (Korea)
  • 6.14 Hyundai - Crystalline Silicon (Korea) (Centrotherm Turnkey)
  • 6.15 LDK Solar Hi-Tech - Multicrystalline (China)
  • 6.16 LG Electronics - Crystalline Silicon (Korea)
  • 6.17 JA Solar Silicon Wafers (China)
  • 6.18 Kyocera - Crystalline Silicon (Japan)
  • 6.19 Maharishi Solar Technology - Polycrystalline Silicon (India)
  • 6.20 Mitsubishi Electric - Crystalline Silicon (Japan)
  • 6.21 Mosel Vitelic - Multicrystalline (U.S.)
  • 6.22 Motech Industries - Silicon Wafers (Taiwan)
  • 6.23 NeoSolar Power- Multicrystalline Silicon (Taiwan)
  • 6.24 Perfect Energy - Silicon (China)
  • 6.25 Prime Solar (Australia) Multicrystalline (Australia)
  • 6.26 ReneSola Ltd. Ingots and Wafers
  • 6.27 Q-Cells- Multicrystalline (Germany)
  • 6.28 Qimonda ((Now Centrosolar and Itarion Solar) - Multicrystalline Silicon (Germany)
  • 6.29 REC - Multicrystalline (Norway)
  • 6.30 Reliance Group (India)
  • 6.31 Samsung - Silicon (Korea)
  • 6.32 Schott Group and Schott Solar: - Multi-Crystalline Silicon (Germany)
  • 6.33 Solar EnerTech - Silicon (Shanghai)
  • 6.34 Solargiga Energy Holdings - Crystalline Silicon (Japan)
  • 6.35 Solarfun - Silicon (China)
  • 6.36 Solarig - Crystalline Silicon (Spain)
  • 6.37 Sanyo (Now Panasonic) - Heterojunction (HIT) wafers (Crystal Si&Amorphous Si)
  • 6.38 Sharp Crystalline Silicon and Amorphous Thin Film
  • 6.39 Solar World - Crystalline Silicon (U.S.)
  • 6.40 SpectraWatt (Intel Spin-off) - Multicrystalline Silicon (U.S.)
  • 6.41 Sumco - Polycrystalline Silicon (Japan)
  • 6.42 Sunergy - Monocrystalline Silicon (China)
  • 6.43 Suniva - Monocrystalline Silicon (Georgia U.S.)
  • 6.44 Sunpower - Crystalline Silicon (U.S.)
  • 6.45 Suntech - Polycrystalline Silicon (China)
  • 6.46 SMIC- Silicon (China)
  • 6.47 Solartech Energy - Multicrystalline Silicon (Taiwan)
  • 6.48 Sunways - Multicrystalline/ monocrystalline (Germany)
  • 6.49 Trina Solar - MultiCrystalline-Silicon (China)
  • 6.50 Wacker- Schott - multicrystalline Silicon (Germany)
  • 6.51 Webel-Sl Energy Systems - Silicon (India)
  • 6.52 Yingli Green Energy - polysilicon (China)

7.0 Solar Concentrator Silicon Systems

  • 7.1 Energy Innovations - Concentrator Systems
  • 7.2 Practical Instruments SILICON
  • 7.3 Pythagoras Solar (Israel) MODULES
  • 7.4 Xerox and SolFocus - Concentrator Systems

8.0 Thin Crystalline Silicon Ribbon

  • 8.1 Evergreen Solar - Crystalline Silicon Ribbon (Massachusetts, U.S.)
  • 8.2 Sovello (Formerly EverQ)

9.0 Silicon Solar Modules

  • 9.1 Asola Advanced and Automotive Solar Systems GmbH (Modules)
  • 9.2 SOLON
  • 9.3 Solar Semiconductor (India)

10.0 Thin Film Solar Cells, Materials and Market

  • 10.1 Thin Film Materials and Market Overview

11.0 Thin Film Amorphous Silicon

  • 11.1 Thin Film Amorphous Silicon Market

12.0 Thin Film Amorphous Silicon Suppliers

  • 12.1 Best Solar - Amorphous (China) (Applied Materials Turnkey)
  • 12.2 Energy Conversion Devices / United Solar Ovonic - Amorphous (Uni-Solar)
  • 12.3 ENN Solar Energy - Amorphous (China) (Applied Materials turnkey line)
  • 12.4 EPV Solar
  • 12.5 Golden Sun Solar - Amorphous (Fujian, China)
  • 12.6 Green Brilliance - Amorphous (Spire Turn-Key)
  • 12.7 Green Energy Technology - Amorphous (Taiwan) (Applied Materials Turn-Key)
  • 12.8 LG Electronics - Thin Film Silicon (Korea)
  • 12.9 Moser Baer- Amorphous (India) (Applied Materials Turn-Key)
  • 12.10 Signet Solar - Amorphous (Germany) (Applied Materials Turnkey)
  • 12.11 Solar Morph - Amorphous (Singapore) (Applied Materials Turnkey)
  • 12.12 SolarPro - Amorphous (Hungary), (Energosolar Turn-Key)
  • 12.13 Solar Thin Films - Amorphous (Hungary)
  • 12.14 Solar Technologies- Amorphous (Dubai), (Applied Materials Turn-Key)
  • 12.15. SunWell Solar - Amorphous (Taiwan), (Oerlikon Turn Key)
  • 12.16 United Microelec. Corp./NexPower Technology -Amorphous (Ulvac Turn Key)

13.0 THIN FILM CDTE

  • 13.1 Calyxo (Subsidiary of Q-Cells) - Cd Te Thin Film
  • 13.2 First Solar (U.S.) THIN FILM CDTE

14.0 CIS/CIGS THIN FILM

  • 14.1 Market Overview
  • 14.2 Production Capability Announced for CIS/CIGS Solar Cell Production

15. Vendors of CIS/CIGS Thin Film Solar Cells

  • 15.1 Ascent Solar CIGS Solar Cells (U.S.)
  • 15.2 DayStar CIGS Photovoltaic Foil
  • 15.3 Global Solar Energy CIGS Solar Cells
  • 15.3.1 GSE CIGS Solar Cell Production
  • 15.3.2 Global Solar Energy (GSE) CIGS Solar Cell Technology
  • 15.4 HelioVolt CIGS Film Development and Production
  • 15.5 Honda Motor CIGS Film
  • 15.5.1 Honda CIGS Solar Cell Production
  • 15.5.2 Honda CIGS Technology and Development
  • 15.7 Johanna Solar - CIGS Se (Germany)
  • 15.8 NanoSolar CIGS Printed on Thin Polymer
  • 15.9 Showa Shell CIGS Solar Cells
  • 15.9.1 Showa Shell CIGS Solar Cell Production
  • 15.9.2 Shell Research CIS Film Development
  • 15.10 SoloPower CIGS Solar Cells
  • 15.11 Solyndra CIGS Panels (Fremont, California)
  • 15.12 SulfurCell CIS/CIGS (Germany)

16.0 Solar Equipment Tool, Process and Service Vendors and Markets

  • 16.1 Solar Equipment Tool Market

17.0 Makers of Turnkey Solar Manufacturing Lines

  • 17.1 Applied Materials
  • 17.2 Energo Solar (Hungary)
  • 17.3 GT Equipment Technologies (U.S.)
  • 17.4 Centrotherm (Germany)
  • 17.5 Hind High Vacuum
  • 17.6 Oerlikon Solar (Switzerland)
  • 17.7 Roth & Rau (Germany)
  • 17.8 Spire Solar
  • 17.9 1366 Technologies - (Massachusetts, U.S.)

18 Other Equipment Tool/Process Manufacturers for Solar Wafer Manufacturing Plants

  • 18.1 Overview of PV Equipment Tool and Process Market
  • 18.2 Akrion
  • 18.3 Amtech Systems/Tempress Systems
  • 18.4 Arch Aluminum (U.S.)
  • 18.5 Baccini (Spain)
  • 18.6 BTU International (Radiant Technology)
  • 18.7 Dupont.
  • 18.8Edwards Vacuum
  • 18.9 Flour Corporation
  • 18.10 Fujifilm Dimatix
  • 18.11 JYT Corporation (China)
  • 18.12 KLA-Tencor
  • 18.13 Meyer Burger (Germany)
  • 18.14 OTB
  • 18.15 Owens Design
  • 18.16 Rohm and Haas
  • 18.17 Silicon Genesis
  • 18.18 Solland Solar
  • 18.19 Sputtering Materials (Reno, Nevada)
  • 18.20 Synova Laser MicroJet Technology Research
  • 18.21 Tokyo Electron
  • 18.22 Veeco
  • 18.23 XsunX
  • 18.24 Thoughts on the Capital Cost of PV Wafer Facilities

19 Test and Certification Facilities for Solar

  • 19.1 TUV Rheinland Test and Certification Center
  • 19.2 Arizona State University Photovoltaic Testing Lab

Bibliography

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